The Russian president “is not a gambler,” says Fyodor Lukyanov, a Russian foreign policy expert based in Moscow.
“He is a very calculated player and he is very much aware about all dangers … about the relationship between nuclear superpowers.”
Conflict Zone host Tim Sebastian asked Lukyanov if the military build-up on Ukraine’s border was really about attention seeking.
“This is not a Ukrainian issue, this is an issue about how European security has been arranged after the Cold War,” Lukyanov said.
“And unfortunately, at the end of the day, Russian leadership, as I read it, understood that the only way to get attention, to launch a discussion, is to demonstrate force.”
01:11 How likely is Russia to launch a fresh incursion into Ukraine?
02:10 Attention seeking – the rationale for military build-up?
07:57 How much rests on Russian claims of NATO ‘broken promises’?
11:03 Has the Kremlin only itself to blame for Ukraine’s push towards NATO?
12:26 Why is the crisis at a head now?
13:52 “It’s not about [U.S.] weakness. It’s about priorities”
20:50 Vladimir Putin “is not a gambler”
23:39 Has something gone badly wrong in Russia? / ‘Memorial’ closure
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Conflict Zone is Deutsche Welle’s top political interview. Every week, our hosts Tim Sebastian and Sarah Kelly are face to face with global decision-makers, seeking straight answers to straight questions, putting the spotlight on controversial issues and calling the powerful to account.
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